Monte Carlo-Based Assessment of Machine Flexibility in Group-Configured Part-Feeding Systems
Downloads
Modern high-mix, low-volume manufacturing faces significant downtime during setup changes in part-feeding systems, yet no quantitative model currently exists that links group-based reconfiguration strategies to a measurable flexibility index under stochastic batch-size conditions. This study therefore aims to develop and experimentally validate a probabilistic mathematical model for assessing machine flexibility when a group-based reconfiguration approach is applied to part-feeding systems. The methodology combines Monte Carlo simulation to model random batch-size distributions with physical validation using a rotary orienting device across eight distinct sleeve types. Simulation results indicate that the proposed strategy reduces setup labor by 51-61% in systems handling 100 different part types. When fewer than one-third of parts require reconfiguration, the machine flexibility index reaches 0.088 ± 0.014, meeting established thresholds for high system flexibility. Experimental tests confirm that a uniform group-level adjustment maintains operational efficiency deviations within 3-5% across varying part geometries. The primary novelty of this work lies in introducing a confidence-bounded flexibility coefficient that explicitly incorporates auxiliary loading subsystems, which are consistently overlooked in existing deterministic approaches. This provides a practical, data-driven tool for production planning that enhances responsiveness without sacrificing throughput or increasing system complexity.
Downloads
[1] Gungor, Z. E., & Evans, S. (2017). Understanding the hidden cost and identifying the root causes of changeover impacts. Journal of Cleaner Production, 167, 1138–1147. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.08.055.
[2] ElMaraghy, H., Schuh, G., ElMaraghy, W., Piller, F., Schönsleben, P., Tseng, M., & Bernard, A. (2013). Product variety management. CIRP Annals, 62(2), 629–652. doi:10.1016/j.cirp.2013.05.007.
[3] Weckenborg, C., Schumacher, P., Thies, C., & Spengler, T. S. (2024). Flexibility in manufacturing system design: A review of recent approaches from Operations Research. European Journal of Operational Research, 315(2), 413–441. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2023.08.050.
[4] Wang, F., Lu, Y., & Ju, F. (2018). Condition-based Real-time Production Control for Smart Manufacturing Systems. 2018 IEEE 14th International Conference on Automation Science and Engineering (CASE), 1052–1057. doi:10.1109/coase.2018.8560389.
[5] Tatarkanov, A. A., Alexandrov, I. A., Mikhailov, M. S., & Muranov, A. N. (2021). Algorithmic Approach to the Assessment Automation of the Pipeline Shut-Off Valves Tightness. International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology, 69(12), 147–162. doi:10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V69I12P218.
[6] Pansare, R., Yadav, G., & Nagare, M. R. (2021). Reconfigurable manufacturing system: a systematic review, meta-analysis and future research directions. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 21(1), 228–265. doi:10.1108/jedt-05-2021-0231.
[7] Arista, R., Mas, F., Morales-Palma, D., & Vallellano, C. (2022). Industrial Resources in the design of Reconfigurable Manufacturing Systems for aerospace: A systematic literature review. Computers in Industry, 142, 103719. doi:10.1016/j.compind.2022.103719.
[8] Andersen, R., Napoleone, A., Andersen, A. L., Brunoe, T. D., & Nielsen, K. (2024). A systematic methodology for changeable and reconfigurable manufacturing systems development. Journal of Manufacturing Systems, 74, 449–462. doi:10.1016/j.jmsy.2024.04.008.
[9] Rácz-Szabó, A., Ruppert, T., Bántay, L., Löcklin, A., Jakab, L., & Abonyi, J. (2020). Real-time locating system in production management. Sensors (Switzerland), 20(23), 1–22. doi:10.3390/s20236766.
[10] Poswa, F., Adenuga, O. T., & Mpofu, K. (2022). Productivity Improvement Using Simulated Value Stream Mapping: A Case Study of the Truck Manufacturing Industry. Processes, 10(9), 1884. doi:10.3390/pr10091884.
[11] Reisch, R., Hauser, T., Kamps, T., & Knoll, A. (2020). Robot based wire arc additive manufacturing system with context-sensitive multivariate monitoring framework. Procedia Manufacturing, 51, 732–739. doi:10.1016/j.promfg.2020.10.103.
[12] Engelmann, B., Schmitt, S., Miller, E., Bräutigam, V., & Schmitt, J. (2020). Advances in machine learning detecting changeover processes in cyber physical production systems. Journal of Manufacturing and Materials Processing, 4(4), 108. doi:10.3390/jmmp4040108.
[13] Maalouf, M. M., & Zaduminska, M. (2019). A case study of VSM and SMED in the food processing industry. Management and Production Engineering Review, 129569. doi:10.24425/mper.2019.129569.
[14] Dwaikat, N. Y., Zighan, S., Abualqumboz, M., & Alkalha, Z. (2022). The 4Rs supply chain resilience framework: A capability perspective. Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management, 30(3), 281–294. doi:10.1111/1468-5973.12418.
[15] Elmoselhy, S. A. M. (2013). Hybrid lean-agile manufacturing system technical facet, in automotive sector. Journal of Manufacturing Systems, 32(4), 598–619. doi:10.1016/j.jmsy.2013.05.011.
[16] Alexandrov, I. A., Mikhailov, M. S., & Chervyakov, L. M. (2024). Methods of Balancing Technological Systems of Multiproduct Production. Applied System Innovation, 7(6), 114. doi:10.3390/asi7060114.
[17] Afnaria, A., Amalia, A., & Pratami, A. (2025). A Progressive Hedging–Based Two-Stage Stochastic Programming Model for Managing Seasonal Demand and Lead-Time Uncertainty in Patchwork MSMEs. Mathematical Modelling of Engineering Problems, 12(10), 3654–3666. doi:10.18280/mmep.121029.
[18] Renna, P. (2016). A Decision Investment Model to Design Manufacturing Systems based on a genetic algorithm and Monte-Carlo simulation. International Journal of Computer Integrated Manufacturing, 30(6), 590–605. doi:10.1080/0951192x.2016.1187299.
[19] Seebacher, G., & Winkler, H. (2014). Evaluating flexibility in discrete manufacturing based on performance and efficiency. International Journal of Production Economics, 153, 340–351. doi:10.1016/j.ijpe.2014.03.018.
[20] Filz, M.-A., Bosse, J. P., & Herrmann, C. (2023). Digitalization platform for data-driven quality management in multi-stage manufacturing systems. Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, 35(6), 2699–2718. doi:10.1007/s10845-023-02162-9.
[21] Swaroop, A., Singh, A., Chandra, G., Prakash, S., Yadav, S. K., Yang, T., & Rathore, R. S. (2024). A Comprehensive Overview of Formal Methods and Deep Learning for Verification and Optimization. 2024 International Conference on Decision Aid Sciences and Applications (DASA), 1–6. doi:10.1109/dasa63652.2024.10836654.
[22] Pramanik, P. K. D., Biswas, S., Pal, S., Marinković, D., & Choudhury, P. (2021). A comparative analysis of multi-criteria decision-making methods for resource selection in mobile crowd computing. Symmetry, 13(9), 1713. doi:10.3390/sym13091713.
[23] Moraru, M. D., Bildea, C. S., & Kiss, A. A. (2021). Novel eco-efficient process for methyl methacrylate production. Industrial & Engineering Chemistry Research, 60(3), 1290–1301. doi:10.1021/acs.iecr.0c04273.
[24] Contreras-Masse, R., Ochoa-Zezzatti, A., García, V., Pérez-Dominguez, L., & Elizondo-Cortés, M. (2020). Implementing a Novel Use of Multicriteria Decision Analysis to Select IIoT Platforms for Smart Manufacturing. Symmetry, 12(3), 368. doi:10.3390/sym12030368.
[25] Karpov, N. S., Alexandrov, I. A., & Lampezhev, A. K. (2024). Optimization of Group Loading of Equipment for Multiproduct Manufacturing. 2024 Dynamics of Systems, Mechanisms and Machines (Dynamics), 1–5. doi:10.1109/dynamics64718.2024.10838665.
[26] Akishev, K. M., Zhamangarin, D. S., Zhardemkyzy, S., Murzabekov, T. T., Nurgaliyev, A. Y., & Zhiganbayev, M. Y. (2023). Application of the Principle of Special States in Developing Simulation Model. News of the National Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Series of Geology and Technical Sciences, 1(457), 33–44. doi:10.32014/2023.2518-170X.257.
[27] Todinov, M. (2022). Optimising processes and generating knowledge by interpreting a new algebraic inequality. International Journal of Modelling, Identification and Control, 41(1–2), 98–109. doi:10.1504/ijmic.2022.127103.
[28] Wang, C.-N., Nhieu, N.-L., & Tran, T. T. T. (2021). Stochastic Chebyshev Goal Programming Mixed Integer Linear Model for Sustainable Global Production Planning. Mathematics, 9(5), 483. doi:10.3390/math9050483.
[29] Behrendt, S., Ungen, M., Fisel, J., Hung, K. C., May, M. C., Leberle, U., & Lanza, G. (2023). Improving Production System Flexibility and Changeability Through Software-Defined Manufacturing. Production at the Leading Edge of Technology. WGP 2022. Lecture Notes in Production Engineering. Springer, Cham, Switzerland. doi:10.1007/978-3-031-18318-8_70.
[30] Höse, K., Amaral, A., Götze, U., & Peças, P. (2023). Manufacturing Flexibility through Industry 4.0 Technological Concepts—Impact and Assessment. Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, 24(2), 271–289. doi:10.1007/s40171-023-00339-y.
[31] Cruz, J. A. d., Salles-Neto, L. L. d., & Schenekemberg, C. M. (2024). An integrated production planning and inventory management problem for a perishable product: optimization and Monte Carlo simulation as a tool for planning in scenarios with uncertain demands. Top, 32(2), 263–303. doi:10.1007/s11750-024-00667-x.
[32] Mohammad, A., Hamja, A., & Hasle, P. (2023). Reduction of changeover time through SMED with RACI integration in garment factories. International Journal of Lean Six Sigma, 15(2), 201–219. doi:10.1108/ijlss-10-2021-0176.
[33] Braglia, M., Di Paco, F., & Marrazzini, L. (2023). A new Lean tool for efficiency evaluation in SMED projects. International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, 127(1–2), 431–446. doi:10.1007/s00170-023-11508-9.
[34] Cerqueus, A., & Delorme, X. (2023). Evaluating the scalability of reconfigurable manufacturing systems at the design phase. International Journal of Production Research, 61(23), 8080–8093. doi:10.1080/00207543.2022.2164374.
[35] Todescato, M., Braholli, O., Chaltsev, D., Di Blasio, I., Don, D., Egger, G., Emig, J., Pasetti Monizza, G., Sacco, P., Siegele, D., Steiner, D., Terzer, M., Riedl, M., Giusti, A., & Matt, D. (2023). Sustainable manufacturing through application of reconfigurable and intelligent systems in production processes: a system perspective. Scientific Reports, 13(1), 22374. doi:10.1038/s41598-023-49727-5.
[36] Tulegulov, A. D., Yergaliyev, D. S., Bazhaev, N. A., Keribayeva, T. B., & Akishev, K. M. (2022). Methods for Improving Process Automation in the Mining Industry. Series of Geology and Technical Sciences, 1(451), 115–125. doi:10.32014/2022.2518-170x.148.
- This work (including HTML and PDF Files) is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.



















